http://baike.baidu.com/view/190314.html?wtp=tt 百度知道里有 情态动词表示推测的分类,你去看吧。讲得很好。
表推测时,英语中只使用must,may,might,may not和can't。这五个表达的语气依次递减:
must:一定(语气肯定)
may:也许(不很肯定)
might:或许(比may语气更弱)
may not:也许不(表否定)
can't:一定不(must的反义)
推测现在的事情用must,may,might,may not和can't+do或be
e.g.She must be at home now.
The boy may play now.
推测过去的事情用must,may,might,may not和can't+have done
e.g.She might have been ill yesterday.
He must have hold the party.
注意:表推测的must,may,might,may not和can't是不可以与I think...连用。因为I think...已有推测的含义,故不能连用